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AI's CapEx Driven Endgame - A Shareholder Crash, Not an Economic Crisis Ian Harnett (Chief Investment Advisor of Absolute Strategy Rese...

Monday, September 04, 2023

Aussie Broadband's FY23 Results

 Aussie Broadband's  (ABB) FY23 Results and Why it's Emerging as an Acquisition Target

  • NBN
    • Consumer
    • 2019, 100K customers, unprofitable. 
    • 2023, 700K customers, NPAT of $37Mn.
    • 65% of Revenue from the consumer segment.
    • 12% of NBN customers are on >  $100/month plan and 40% of Aussie customers are in this segment. Aussie acquires more than half of all new high value subscribers to the NBN.
    • Business & Govt
    • Business segment grew by 8% to $90Mn Rev. EE is adding to margin growth
    • >800 new deals – SMB is driving it 
    • Both segments utilise wholly owned fibre and an internally built cloud platform to generate 50% GM against residential GM of 30%. As those segments grow, profits will disproportionately rise.
  • Smallest telco to build its own fibre backhaul.
  • Built in house software to manage data loads, billing and other core functions.
  • Wholesale
    • business offers white labelled telco services to 3rd parties like Origin, was its fastest growing segment and a genuine surprise. Revenue rose 60% to over $100Mn and maintained 30% GM. Management expects margins to rise as more partners use the service.
  •  Cloud
  • With 2 new data centres added to the business, growing fibre and a bespoke cloud platform, there is little doubt that Aussie aims to build a capability to sell cloud services to enterprise and government. 
  • This is ambitious and chances are this will fail. Globally Telcos have struggled with Cloud as HPS’s and Tier 2 Cloud players are far ahead in the game.

Acquisition Target
  • ABB is to become a billion-dollar business in the next 2 years. 
  • Healthy balance sheet.
  • Currently, the EV is $0.946 Bn and with good growth potential for Rev and Margin growth in the next 2-3 years.
  • The market share of NBN is around 8%. 



















































My previous on TPG and NBN Co FY23 Results and its strategic play. 


Source: AFRTPG, ACCC, ITnews, Reuters, ABB, UBS



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