Strategic Foresight - Insights in Business and Technology

How DeepSeek's Challenge Actually Strengthened NVIDIA's Market Position The emergence of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup, initially sent shockwaves through the market, raising fears of disruption to NVIDIA's dominance in the AI chip market. DeepSeek's claim of developing an advanced AI model with significantly lower computing costs triggered a sharp market correction, wiping out nearly $750 billion from NVIDIA's market capitalization in a week. However, this seemingly negative event has, paradoxically, strengthened NVIDIA's long-term market position.     The Initial Shock and the Correction: The initial market reaction was swift and decisive, with NVIDIA's stock price dropping by 6% while the Nasdaq remained relatively flat. This correction, while painful in the short term, has resulted in a more attractive valuation for NVIDIA. The forward P/E ratio has compressed from a lofty 40x six months ago to a more reasonable 32x. This reset makes NVIDIA more appea...

 Nvidia's Post-Earnings Boost: A Breakdown Nvidia's upcoming earnings call on August 28th is highly anticipated due to several key factors that position the company for a potential share price surge. Key Factors Driving Nvidia's Potential Post-Earnings Boost Inventory Disparity: Nvidia's low inventory levels compared to AMD's bloated stock suggest strong demand and efficient production. This indicates a healthier financial position and potential for higher revenue. The contrast between the two chip giants highlights Nvidia's superior supply chain management and ability to capitalize on market demand. Dominant Pricing Power: Nvidia's H100 GPUs command a significantly higher price than AMD's competing MI300X, demonstrating exceptional pricing power. This pricing advantage translates into higher revenue per unit and improved profit margins, contributing to overall financial strength. LLM-Driven Demand Acceleration: The burgeoning LLM marke...

Tesla - It's not a Car, It's an AI Device on Wheels Tesla - Evolution Tesla - AI Device on Wheels Teslas Secret of Success Anecdote: In 2013, Elon Musk sent a meeting request to Apple's CEO Tim Cook, but Tim refused to meet him.  Musk confirmed this by tweeting in Dec 2020, that he had tried to sell Tesla to Apple for 1/10 of its current value during "the darkest days of the Model 3 program ."  It's still a mystery why Apple didn't end up buying Tesla, but there are a few theories out there. One possibility is that Apple's CEO, Tim Cook, just wasn't interested in acquiring Tesla. Another theory is that Cook was worried about some of the difficulties Tesla was going through at the time, like production delays and financial losses. Lastly, it's also possible that the two companies couldn't agree on a fair price for Tesla. Occasionally, there is a rumour that Elon Musk aspired to become the CEO of Apple . Following Steve Jobs' passing in ...

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - The Chipmaker That Runs The World Key Indicators   Domain: Semiconductors  Comp. (Chip Manf) – Samsung, SMIC, GFS, UMC Growth Segment – HPC AI Chips (Up) Economic Moat – Wide Cyclical - Yes Key Customers (Total 530+) TSMC's revenue is made up of 26% from Apple and 7% from Nvidia. Apple has a 10-year partnership with the chip maker.  Apple designs chips for iPhones and Mac computers, while Google designs Tensor Chips for Pixel smartphones. Qualcomm and MediaTek design processors for Android phones. Nvidia designs Gaming and Artificial Intelligence (AI) processors and AMD and Nvidia design advanced processors for Tesla.  TSMC chips are also used by major cloud providers like AWS, MSFT, Google, Oracle, and IBM for data centres, networking, and software. Broadcom designs chips for broadband and wireless markets.   TSMC is able to offer its customers its manufacturing capabilities in the areas of Smartphones, High-Performance Comput...

Google the King of Search - What the Future Beholds in the AI World  Google's Evolution   Google King of Search - Where is the Growth Google Search - Economics with Gen AI Google Cloud's - AI and ML Play Googles AI Journey  Googles $100Bn Blunder Google - Risks to its Growth My other posts on  AI Value Chain ,  Amazon the King of Retail -WhyAWS is the Crown Jewel ,  Microsoft the King of AI in Software ,  Salesforce under the AI Cloud  and how  Generative AI can transform Telecoms ,  Energy and Utilities Source:  Seekingalpha ,  Bloomberg , Martinfowler.com,  Databricks.com , Linkedin,  Nvidia ,  Google ,  AWS ,  Fourweek MBA Blog ,  Amazon

 Nvidia Godfather of AI - Why the Market is Bullish What is their Economic Moat Where is the Growth Dot Com Era - History Repeating Itself  Nvidia - Under The Hood  Two CEO's Personal and Professional Relationship Risks to its Growth My other posts on  AI Value Chain ,   Microsoft King of AI in Software ,  Salesforce under the AI Cloud , AWS is the Crown Jewel and how  Generative AI can transform Telecoms ,  Energy and Utilities