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AI's CapEx Driven Endgame - A Shareholder Crash, Not an Economic Crisis
AI's CapEx Driven Endgame - A Shareholder Crash, Not an Economic Crisis Ian Harnett (Chief Investment Advisor of Absolute Strategy Rese...
Sunday, November 27, 2022
Thursday, October 20, 2022
Weekend Reading
From 7 Rules of Power: Surprising — but True — Advice on How to Get Things Done and Advance Your Career. His seven rules are:
- get out of your own way — that is,
- speak with confidence and do not undersell yourself,
- break the rules — do the unexpected,
- show up in powerful fashion — with conscious body language and actual language,
- create a powerful brand, network relentlessly,
- use your power — do not be afraid to wield power once you have it,
- and finally, remember that “success excuses (almost) everything” — the powerful attract and retain support.”
Saturday, September 03, 2022
Weekend Reading
Weekend Reading:
How to kickstart and scale a consumer business:
Thursday, September 01, 2022
Sellers from Mars and Buyers from Venus - Attractive and Action Oriented Seller and Buyer
Persona Mapping with Elements - Buyer and Seller
One of the critical activities and constituents of a sales plan is to build the buyer's stakeholder persona that will assist in the relationship-building process. Mapping of these stakeholder personas reveals the type of levers that can be used to develop and nurture long-term relationships with the intent of winning and expanding the sales pipeline. Without the intelligence of the buyer's persona, the sales execution effort will be challenging and profoundly inefficient and ineffective.
Besides, it addresses the risk of losing a sales representative because by capturing and documenting the buyers' persona, you can ensure that gathered intelligence and levers applied in building relationships and influencing negotiations are not lost with a change in guard at the sellers' end.
Fire signifies charisma and brilliance, and it removes the darkness by brightening our surroundings. Similarly, these natives attract others and enlighten them with their brilliance and action. They are persuasive and convince others easily with their thoughts and vision. These natives love to have an audience, like how Fire brings people together during the evenings in winter. For instance, in aboriginal culture, a Sacred Fire is lit before a gathering; similarly, the Holy Fire is lit for a Hindu marriage ceremony. In sales, these natives attract buyers with their charisma and energy. They prefer to use an audience to position their offering.
Fire needs fresh Air (agile) as fuel to ignite or spread. It is extinguished when the air supply has ceased. Similarly, prominent fiery natives are constantly looking for new experiences. They are always exploring to meet and mingle with different types of people. Meeting people or trying new things keeps them energetic. Fiery natives need a constant feed of new challenges in life to keep them going, or else they stagnate and become hopeless.
Fire represents heat, which implies that these natives are anger prone. They lose their cool quickly and panic under pressure because losing or finger-pointing in life is something they can't comprehend. It's advisable not to pick fights with these natives because they retaliate or rebel strongly without thinking of any potential consequences. In sales, their desire to win and risk appetite is high because not only do they want to proliferate, but it's the feeling of accomplishment and winning which keeps their spirits alight. Having said that, when a deal is lost, these natives lose their cool quickly and can become hopeless.
In Astrology, Fire represents the South direction and is owned by Mars. Mars represents a soldier and the commander of the army. The Martian person is brave, confident, action-centric and follows the order of the King Sun religiously. He is anger prone and hunts on his own like a lone Wolf. Being the King's army commander, he governs and commands his troops by applying the top-down approach.
Tuesday, August 30, 2022
Telecom Industry Australia - Status Check FY 22
The Telecom sector across the globe has been struggling, with industry performance in the bottom quadrant.
In Australia, most of them are recovering or heading in the top quadrant driven by the change in demand profile since COVID.
Most telecom companies Beta < 1 (less volatility).
Telecom Opportunity
- Key Trends Telecom industry across the globe is recovering from being in decline or stagnant in the last 5-10 years. This recovery is driven by the change in demand profile because of COVID.
- Since early 2020 demand for digital enabled services like self serve, self care, mobile first, remote work and collaboration has grown by 3-5 times. This has resulted in a spurt in demand for data (x3), high speed internet and mobility.
- Industry's focus has shifted from Revenue Generation to Revenue Protection and Generation. The Customer engagement has shifted to non negotiable CX (intuitive and simplicity), Resiliency and Stickiness.
- Fulfilment of this demand is enabled by accelerating digital transformation (simplify offerings and services) across the business.
- Industry is rapidly adopting technology enablers like Cloud, AI/ML, 5G, IoT, Security, Platform (API) and SD-WAN to fulfil the growing and elastic demand.
Wednesday, August 24, 2022
NBN - Threats to Fibre Revenue Stream
NBN - Threats to Fibre Revenue Stream from 5G, Idle Network, Space Technology Driven Disruptors like Starlink and Kuiper
Loss Making to Continue for another 2 Years
Monday, August 22, 2022
Digital Transformation Spectrum - 2011 to 2022
Digital Transformation Spectrum - 2011 to 2022
- Sales Trigger has evolved with the Evolution of the Digital Transformation Journey from early 2011 to post-COVID.
- The spectrum of Primary Sales and Transformation Triggers is highlighted below.
Sunday, August 21, 2022
Weekend Reading
Weekend Reading
Why Bioscience can change the world“Eric Schmidt…thinks the next big thing is the “bioeconomy”, not the internet. This catch-all label, Schmidt explained to me at the Aspen Ideas forum last month, describes “the use of biological processes to make use of things that we consume and manufacture… advances in essentially molecular biology… plus advances in AI have allowed us to do new techniques and grow new things.” Helpfully, he listed a few innovations this economy might include: new plastics that naturally degrade without polluting water, “biologically neutral” cement that does not hurt the environment, soil microbes that reduce fertiliser use, soy-based roof-coating that reduces urban heat and, my favourite, compostable dining ware such as edible forks. Put another way, the bioeconomy is based on stuff that is grown using synthetic biology.”
- public speaking
- writing well
- storytelling (see 1-2)
- personal finance
- critical thinking (not cynicism)
- active listening (hear unsaid)
- networking (trust and giving)
- good customer service
- how to sell
- to fight against entitlement
Saturday, August 20, 2022
IT and Digital Sales Business Case Drivers - Single Page View
IT Sales Business Case Drivers - Single Page View
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The nature of the IT Industry has evolved in a post-digital era. Today, IT is primarily divided into 2 domains: Traditional (including legacy) and Digital.- Growth Enabler
- IT is Linear
- Digital is Exponential
- Complexity Resolution
- IT is about Predictability
- Digital is through Resilience, Adaptability, Scale
- Competition
- IT - against the Companies
- Digital - against the Companies and their Ecosystem
- Spending
- IT - CIO driven
- Digital - CXO, BU Head and CDO driven
- Economics
- IT - Increase in Marginal Cost leads to an Increase in Marginal Revenue
- Digital - minimal increase in Marginal Cost leads to higher Marginal Revenue (true network effects and platform economy to be in play)
- Pricing
- IT (Commodity) - Price is the key driver, as long as the Risk of doing business is minimal and Functionality is fulfilled
- Digital (Premium) - Price is not the key; it is Agility, Scale, Resiliency and CX.
- Saying “No” to price discounts or relief, and to being pressurised for work, is key to maintaining premium positioning.
- Insights
- IT - know their problems and look for bargains; operational insights are valuable.
- Digital - needs Commercial Insights, not Thought Leadership (it's a commodity now).
- Roadmap Know How
- IT - IT Strategy is driven by Business Strategy.
- Digital - Corporate Strategy spectrum and then Business Strategy.
- Commercial Engagement
- IT - MSA or BSA driven
- Digital - 30 to 40% reduction on MSA or a skeleton of MSA being leveraged, in some cases, non-existent
Friday, August 19, 2022
Monday, August 15, 2022
Telecom Industry Australia - Where the Money will be Spent
Telecom Industry Australia - Where the Money will be Spent in the next two to three years.
My other post on "IT Services Opportunity and Spend Profile in Telecom sector" can be read here
Disclaimer: All discussed thoughts & opinions are my own & not those of my employer or other parties.Saturday, August 13, 2022
What NBN Co Needs
What NBN Co Needs to increase the uptake of high-speed internet - Follow the Kiwi Model
- Comparing the typical RSP price point between NBN Co and Chorus NZD (Fibre Wholesaler), NBN Co lacks not only price parity and affordability but also the avg speed and higher speed tier simplicity.
- The new SAU proposal by NBN Co is a good start. Reducing the price by $5 to $10/month on 100 Mbps to 1Gpbs lacks the imagination and will to spur digital growth & intake of high-speed internet. It appears to be shackled by the serviceability of $27 Bn debt for any aggressive pricing & cost relief.



